Trader consensus on Shanghai’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 26–27 °C because numerical weather models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF currently project an overcast or lightly rainy day with highs near 25–28 °C. Persistent early-June cloud cover and moisture associated with the East Asian monsoon are limiting daytime heating, while modest southerly flow prevents significant warm advection. Forecast spread across ensemble runs keeps 25 °C and 28 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes, producing the observed near-even split between the two leading contracts. Updated model runs and any clearing trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 12.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 12.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
20°C or below
$122 交易量
<1%
21°C
$18 交易量
<1%
22°C
$167 交易量
1%
23°C
$391 交易量
1%
24°C
$158 交易量
9%
25°C
$263 交易量
16%
26°C
$77 交易量
32%
27°C
$194 交易量
32%
28°C
$583 交易量
12%
29°C
$506 交易量
4%
30°C or higher
$429 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Shanghai’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 26–27 °C because numerical weather models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF currently project an overcast or lightly rainy day with highs near 25–28 °C. Persistent early-June cloud cover and moisture associated with the East Asian monsoon are limiting daytime heating, while modest southerly flow prevents significant warm advection. Forecast spread across ensemble runs keeps 25 °C and 28 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes, producing the observed near-even split between the two leading contracts. Updated model runs and any clearing trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,759結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Shanghai’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 26–27 °C because numerical weather models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF currently project an overcast or lightly rainy day with highs near 25–28 °C. Persistent early-June cloud cover and moisture associated with the East Asian monsoon are limiting daytime heating, while modest southerly flow prevents significant warm advection. Forecast spread across ensemble runs keeps 25 °C and 28 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes, producing the observed near-even split between the two leading contracts. Updated model runs and any clearing trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,759結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Shanghai’s June 16 maximum temperature centers on 26–27 °C because numerical weather models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF currently project an overcast or lightly rainy day with highs near 25–28 °C. Persistent early-June cloud cover and moisture associated with the East Asian monsoon are limiting daytime heating, while modest southerly flow prevents significant warm advection. Forecast spread across ensemble runs keeps 25 °C and 28 °C viable but lower-probability outcomes, producing the observed near-even split between the two leading contracts. Updated model runs and any clearing trends over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions