Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on June 15 clusters tightly around 27–29°C because ensemble forecast models show modest spread in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud-cover timing under East Asian monsoon conditions. Subtropical humidity and variable insolation can alter maximum readings by 1–3°C, while any weak frontal passage or strengthened subtropical ridge would favor the upper end of that range. Central Weather Administration guidance and historical June climatology place typical highs near 28–30°C, yet rapid shifts in low-level moisture or wind patterns keep outcomes within the narrow band that currently dominates market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
28°C 32%
29°C 25.3%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
$13,791 交易量
$13,791 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
22%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
5%
28°C 32%
29°C 25.3%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
$13,791 交易量
$13,791 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
22%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on June 15 clusters tightly around 27–29°C because ensemble forecast models show modest spread in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud-cover timing under East Asian monsoon conditions. Subtropical humidity and variable insolation can alter maximum readings by 1–3°C, while any weak frontal passage or strengthened subtropical ridge would favor the upper end of that range. Central Weather Administration guidance and historical June climatology place typical highs near 28–30°C, yet rapid shifts in low-level moisture or wind patterns keep outcomes within the narrow band that currently dominates market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions