**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Taipei’s June 16 high, reflecting typical early-summer conditions tempered by forecast rain and model variability.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models (timeanddate, Weather.com) project daytime maxima of 28–30°C on the 16th amid isolated thunderstorms and high humidity, with AccuWeather’s broader June range (27.8–36.5°C) underscoring day-to-day variability. Cloud cover and afternoon showers—common in the East Asian monsoon transition—limit insolation and cap peaks, while light steering winds reduce extreme heating potential. Historical June averages near 32°C are offset here by the short-term forecast’s emphasis on precipitation (60–70% chance), keeping the distribution tight and centered just below the monthly norm. New model runs and updated CWA briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
16%
29°C
22%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
25°C or below
$148 交易量
1%
26°C
$84 交易量
4%
27°C
$145 交易量
7%
28°C
$128 交易量
16%
29°C
$182 交易量
22%
30°C
$213 交易量
28%
31°C
$151 交易量
18%
32°C
$444 交易量
6%
33°C
$364 交易量
5%
34°C
$344 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$655 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Taipei’s June 16 high, reflecting typical early-summer conditions tempered by forecast rain and model variability.**
Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models (timeanddate, Weather.com) project daytime maxima of 28–30°C on the 16th amid isolated thunderstorms and high humidity, with AccuWeather’s broader June range (27.8–36.5°C) underscoring day-to-day variability. Cloud cover and afternoon showers—common in the East Asian monsoon transition—limit insolation and cap peaks, while light steering winds reduce extreme heating potential. Historical June averages near 32°C are offset here by the short-term forecast’s emphasis on precipitation (60–70% chance), keeping the distribution tight and centered just below the monthly norm. New model runs and updated CWA briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,621結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Taipei’s June 16 high, reflecting typical early-summer conditions tempered by forecast rain and model variability.**
Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models (timeanddate, Weather.com) project daytime maxima of 28–30°C on the 16th amid isolated thunderstorms and high humidity, with AccuWeather’s broader June range (27.8–36.5°C) underscoring day-to-day variability. Cloud cover and afternoon showers—common in the East Asian monsoon transition—limit insolation and cap peaks, while light steering winds reduce extreme heating potential. Historical June averages near 32°C are offset here by the short-term forecast’s emphasis on precipitation (60–70% chance), keeping the distribution tight and centered just below the monthly norm. New model runs and updated CWA briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,621結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Taipei’s June 16 high, reflecting typical early-summer conditions tempered by forecast rain and model variability.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models (timeanddate, Weather.com) project daytime maxima of 28–30°C on the 16th amid isolated thunderstorms and high humidity, with AccuWeather’s broader June range (27.8–36.5°C) underscoring day-to-day variability. Cloud cover and afternoon showers—common in the East Asian monsoon transition—limit insolation and cap peaks, while light steering winds reduce extreme heating potential. Historical June averages near 32°C are offset here by the short-term forecast’s emphasis on precipitation (60–70% chance), keeping the distribution tight and centered just below the monthly norm. New model runs and updated CWA briefings ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions