**Current forecast models and typical early-summer monsoon patterns position 27°C or below as the market leader for Chengdu’s June 16 high.** June climatology shows average daytime maxima near 28–31°C, with frequent cloud cover and rainfall from the East Asian monsoon suppressing peak temperatures. Recent AccuWeather guidance for mid-June 2026 indicates daily highs generally between 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and showers, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or lower. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry sharply declining odds because sustained clear-sky heating or delayed monsoon progression would be required, scenarios not strongly supported by the latest model runs or historical analogs for this date. Updated short-range forecasts and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C或以下 51%
28°C 23%
29°C 13%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C或以下
51%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
27°C或以下 51%
28°C 23%
29°C 13%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C或以下
$558 交易量
51%
28°C
$355 交易量
23%
29°C
$151 交易量
13%
30°C
$129 交易量
9%
31°C
$582 交易量
5%
32°C
$376 交易量
3%
33°C
$560 交易量
1%
34°C
$948 交易量
<1%
35°C
$647 交易量
<1%
36°C
$676 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$956 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and typical early-summer monsoon patterns position 27°C or below as the market leader for Chengdu’s June 16 high.** June climatology shows average daytime maxima near 28–31°C, with frequent cloud cover and rainfall from the East Asian monsoon suppressing peak temperatures. Recent AccuWeather guidance for mid-June 2026 indicates daily highs generally between 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and showers, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or lower. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry sharply declining odds because sustained clear-sky heating or delayed monsoon progression would be required, scenarios not strongly supported by the latest model runs or historical analogs for this date. Updated short-range forecasts and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$5,832結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and typical early-summer monsoon patterns position 27°C or below as the market leader for Chengdu’s June 16 high.** June climatology shows average daytime maxima near 28–31°C, with frequent cloud cover and rainfall from the East Asian monsoon suppressing peak temperatures. Recent AccuWeather guidance for mid-June 2026 indicates daily highs generally between 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and showers, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or lower. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry sharply declining odds because sustained clear-sky heating or delayed monsoon progression would be required, scenarios not strongly supported by the latest model runs or historical analogs for this date. Updated short-range forecasts and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,832結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET**Current forecast models and typical early-summer monsoon patterns position 27°C or below as the market leader for Chengdu’s June 16 high.** June climatology shows average daytime maxima near 28–31°C, with frequent cloud cover and rainfall from the East Asian monsoon suppressing peak temperatures. Recent AccuWeather guidance for mid-June 2026 indicates daily highs generally between 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and showers, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or lower. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry sharply declining odds because sustained clear-sky heating or delayed monsoon progression would be required, scenarios not strongly supported by the latest model runs or historical analogs for this date. Updated short-range forecasts and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions