Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日華沙的最高溫度？
6月15日華沙的最高溫度？
17°C 42%
18°C 41%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
42%
18°C
41%
19°C
8%
20°C或以上
2%
17°C 42%
18°C 41%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
$605 交易量
<1%
11°C
$249 交易量
<1%
12°C
$250 交易量
<1%
13°C
$245 交易量
<1%
14°C
$575 交易量
1%
15°C
$713 交易量
2%
16°C
$843 交易量
9%
17°C
$494 交易量
42%
18°C
$1,110 交易量
41%
19°C
$322 交易量
8%
20°C或以上
$1,133 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$6,444結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,444結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions