Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and thunderstorms through June 16, suppressing daytime maxima to the 26–29°C range and favoring 28–29°C outcomes. These align with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 31% and 28% implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread showers limit solar heating compared to typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, while model runs show limited intensification potential before the event. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, but short-term synoptic patterns currently dominate resolution risk for this specific date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
$119 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C
$238 交易量
<1%
26°C
$499 交易量
2%
27°C
$178 交易量
16%
28°C
$138 交易量
28%
29°C
$311 交易量
32%
30°C
$158 交易量
18%
31°C
$402 交易量
8%
32°C
$387 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and thunderstorms through June 16, suppressing daytime maxima to the 26–29°C range and favoring 28–29°C outcomes. These align with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 31% and 28% implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread showers limit solar heating compared to typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, while model runs show limited intensification potential before the event. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, but short-term synoptic patterns currently dominate resolution risk for this specific date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,474結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and thunderstorms through June 16, suppressing daytime maxima to the 26–29°C range and favoring 28–29°C outcomes. These align with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 31% and 28% implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread showers limit solar heating compared to typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, while model runs show limited intensification potential before the event. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, but short-term synoptic patterns currently dominate resolution risk for this specific date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,474結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and thunderstorms through June 16, suppressing daytime maxima to the 26–29°C range and favoring 28–29°C outcomes. These align with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 31% and 28% implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread showers limit solar heating compared to typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, while model runs show limited intensification potential before the event. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, but short-term synoptic patterns currently dominate resolution risk for this specific date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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