**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
40%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
22°C或以下
$368 交易量
<1%
23°C
$199 交易量
<1%
24°C
$249 交易量
1%
25°C
$436 交易量
4%
26°C
$266 交易量
12%
27°C
$406 交易量
26%
28°C
$679 交易量
40%
29°C
$590 交易量
18%
30°C
$230 交易量
3%
31°C
$380 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$419 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
交易量
$4,215結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,215結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions