Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
19°C 42%
20°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
42%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C or below
$291 交易量
<1%
14°C
$291 交易量
<1%
15°C
$347 交易量
<1%
16°C
$576 交易量
8%
17°C
$358 交易量
7%
18°C
$508 交易量
18%
19°C
$477 交易量
42%
20°C
$414 交易量
22%
21°C
$740 交易量
7%
22°C
$873 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$301 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
交易量
$5,049結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,049結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ETCape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions