Official Central Weather Administration forecasts anchor the market near 34°C for Taipei on June 18, citing partly cloudy skies and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Trader consensus splits tightly between 34°C and 35°C because shower timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, while delayed or lighter activity might allow readings to reach 36°C amid typical June humidity and urban heat effects. Model spreads and recent observational trends in the region support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final verified maximum from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on June 18?
35°C 28%
34°C 27%
33°C 18%
36°C 18%
$38,884 交易量
$38,884 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
18%
34°C
27%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
8%
35°C 28%
34°C 27%
33°C 18%
36°C 18%
$38,884 交易量
$38,884 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
18%
34°C
27%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts anchor the market near 34°C for Taipei on June 18, citing partly cloudy skies and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Trader consensus splits tightly between 34°C and 35°C because shower timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, while delayed or lighter activity might allow readings to reach 36°C amid typical June humidity and urban heat effects. Model spreads and recent observational trends in the region support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final verified maximum from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions