Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
25°C or below 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
25°C or below
26%
26°C
21%
27°C
25%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
25°C or below 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
25°C or below
$903 交易量
26%
26°C
$806 交易量
21%
27°C
$1,154 交易量
25%
28°C
$1,001 交易量
15%
29°C
$69 交易量
14%
30°C
$207 交易量
5%
31°C
$331 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,963 交易量
1%
33°C
$266 交易量
<1%
34°C
$336 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$446 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$7,481結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,481結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETForecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions