Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?
32°C 40%
31°C 38%
30°C 18%
29°C 4.8%
最新
$39,339 交易量
最新
$39,339 交易量
2026-06-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
38%
32°C
40%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 38%
30°C 18%
29°C 4.8%
最新
$39,339 交易量
最新
$39,339 交易量
2026-06-30
26°C or below
$1,146 交易量
<1%
27°C
$653 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,467 交易量
1%
29°C
$3,118 交易量
5%
30°C
$7,342 交易量
18%
31°C
$5,706 交易量
38%
32°C
$8,246 交易量
40%
33°C
$4,026 交易量
4%
34°C
$1,561 交易量
1%
35°C
$625 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$39,339結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,339結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions