Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on July 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 1?
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
18°C or below
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
23%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
18°C or below
$240 交易量
5%
19°C
$213 交易量
5%
20°C
$28 交易量
12%
21°C
$30 交易量
25%
22°C
$44 交易量
24%
23°C
$63 交易量
23%
24°C
$61 交易量
10%
25°C
$37 交易量
3%
26°C
$178 交易量
4%
27°C
$5 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$783 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,682結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,682結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions