Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 15%
最新
$10,458 交易量
最新
$10,458 交易量
2026-07-01
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
15%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 15%
最新
$10,458 交易量
最新
$10,458 交易量
2026-07-01
21°C or below
$9,259 交易量
1%
22°C
$60 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10 交易量
1%
24°C
$140 交易量
5%
25°C
$250 交易量
8%
26°C
$26 交易量
15%
27°C
$12 交易量
31%
28°C
$188 交易量
28%
29°C
$348 交易量
15%
30°C
$66 交易量
4%
31°C or higher
$121 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,458結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,458結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions