Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on July 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 1?
35°C 26%
36°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
26%
36°C
22%
37°C
8%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 26%
36°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
29°C or below
$2,182 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
7%
32°C
$0 交易量
8%
33°C
$2 交易量
21%
34°C
$42 交易量
21%
35°C
$54 交易量
26%
36°C
$158 交易量
22%
37°C
$76 交易量
8%
38°C
$0 交易量
5%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,452結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,452結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions