Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日華沙的最高溫度？
6月21日華沙的最高溫度？
30°C或以下 55%
31°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 8.5%
最新
$11,101 交易量
最新
$11,101 交易量
2026-06-21
30°C或以下
55%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
<1%
30°C或以下 55%
31°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 8.5%
最新
$11,101 交易量
最新
$11,101 交易量
2026-06-21
30°C或以下
$2,567 交易量
55%
31°C
$1,758 交易量
21%
32°C
$1,925 交易量
20%
33°C
$1,590 交易量
9%
34°C
$791 交易量
1%
35°C
$493 交易量
<1%
36°C
$471 交易量
<1%
37°C
$379 交易量
<1%
38°C
$451 交易量
<1%
39°C
$290 交易量
<1%
40°C或更高
$386 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$11,101結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,101結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions