Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
22°C 22%
21°C 21%
19°C 10%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
10%
24°C
9%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 22%
21°C 21%
19°C 10%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
10%
24°C
9%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions