Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月30日首爾最低溫度？
6月30日首爾最低溫度？
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
16°C或以下
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C或以上
3%
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
16°C或以下
$32 交易量
6%
17°C
$32 交易量
3%
18°C
$0 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
18%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C
$25 交易量
39%
22°C
$19 交易量
32%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C
$280 交易量
4%
25°C
$280 交易量
4%
26°C或以上
$32 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$700結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$700結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions