Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
6月28日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
12°C 50%
11°C 39%
10°C 7.5%
13°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
39%
12°C
50%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 39%
10°C 7.5%
13°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
6°C or below
$332 交易量
<1%
7°C
$120 交易量
<1%
8°C
$365 交易量
<1%
9°C
$142 交易量
1%
10°C
$235 交易量
8%
11°C
$947 交易量
39%
12°C
$917 交易量
50%
13°C
$929 交易量
6%
14°C
$238 交易量
1%
15°C
$134 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$141 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,496結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,496結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETWellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions