Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Sao Paulo's June 26 maximum will likely peak near 20–21°C amid typical austral winter conditions dominated by a subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Lingering moisture and cooler air advection from mid-June cold fronts have kept daily highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages, creating tight clustering around these thresholds rather than warmer outcomes. Official monitoring by INMET and ensemble guidance show minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that differentiate 20°C from 21°C scenarios, with limited upward potential unless clearer skies develop overnight. Traders' near-even split reflects this narrow forecast spread ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日聖保羅的最高溫度?
19°C 99.9%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$80,797 交易量
$80,797 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.9%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$80,797 交易量
$80,797 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Sao Paulo's June 26 maximum will likely peak near 20–21°C amid typical austral winter conditions dominated by a subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Lingering moisture and cooler air advection from mid-June cold fronts have kept daily highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages, creating tight clustering around these thresholds rather than warmer outcomes. Official monitoring by INMET and ensemble guidance show minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that differentiate 20°C from 21°C scenarios, with limited upward potential unless clearer skies develop overnight. Traders' near-even split reflects this narrow forecast spread ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions