Current forecast models for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 20–22 °C on June 28, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures close to the late-June climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Recent short-range guidance shows a stable marine air mass with highs around 24–25 °C transitioning to the target date, reducing the likelihood of either strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative drops that could push readings below 20 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 21–22 °C therefore reflect the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around typical early-summer values rather than any anomalous event. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日東京最低溫度？
6月28日東京最低溫度？
21°C 52%
22°C 45%
23°C 3.0%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
52%
22°C
45%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 45%
23°C 3.0%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
16°C或以下
$258 交易量
<1%
17°C
$40 交易量
<1%
18°C
$33 交易量
<1%
19°C
$28 交易量
1%
20°C
$28 交易量
1%
21°C
$221 交易量
52%
22°C
$793 交易量
45%
23°C
$28 交易量
3%
24°C
$28 交易量
<1%
25°C
$59 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 20–22 °C on June 28, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures close to the late-June climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Recent short-range guidance shows a stable marine air mass with highs around 24–25 °C transitioning to the target date, reducing the likelihood of either strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative drops that could push readings below 20 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 21–22 °C therefore reflect the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around typical early-summer values rather than any anomalous event. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,596結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 20–22 °C on June 28, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures close to the late-June climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Recent short-range guidance shows a stable marine air mass with highs around 24–25 °C transitioning to the target date, reducing the likelihood of either strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative drops that could push readings below 20 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 21–22 °C therefore reflect the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around typical early-summer values rather than any anomalous event. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,596結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 20–22 °C on June 28, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures close to the late-June climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Recent short-range guidance shows a stable marine air mass with highs around 24–25 °C transitioning to the target date, reducing the likelihood of either strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative drops that could push readings below 20 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 21–22 °C therefore reflect the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around typical early-summer values rather than any anomalous event. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies or stronger winds develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions