Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,956 交易量
$95,956 交易量
2026-06-26
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,956 交易量
$95,956 交易量
2026-06-26
31°C or below
$2,083 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,526 交易量
<1%
33°C
$11,056 交易量
<1%
34°C
$15,365 交易量
100%
35°C
$18,728 交易量
<1%
36°C
$12,303 交易量
<1%
37°C
$19,247 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,747 交易量
<1%
39°C
$1,280 交易量
<1%
40°C
$7,981 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,640 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$95,956結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$95,956結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions