**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe. Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
36°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$104,601 交易量
$104,601 交易量
33°C或以下
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
36°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$104,601 交易量
$104,601 交易量
33°C或以下
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe. Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions