Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,327 交易量
$241,327 交易量
2026-06-26
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,327 交易量
$241,327 交易量
2026-06-26
27°C or below
$2,733 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,326 交易量
<1%
29°C
$28,295 交易量
<1%
30°C
$35,513 交易量
<1%
31°C
$56,755 交易量
100%
32°C
$41,224 交易量
<1%
33°C
$51,154 交易量
<1%
34°C
$12,212 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,878 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,913 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,323 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$241,327結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$241,327結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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