Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日紐約市的最高溫度？
6月26日紐約市的最高溫度？
82-83°F 99.0%
84-85°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$131,591 交易量
$131,591 交易量
2026-06-26
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.0%
84-85°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$131,591 交易量
$131,591 交易量
2026-06-26
73°F or below
$3,852 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$13,745 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$14,216 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$10,483 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$14,946 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$17,536 交易量
99%
84-85°F
$17,085 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$15,153 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$14,411 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$6,896 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$3,269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$131,591結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$131,591結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions