**Current short-range forecasts for Qingdao on June 28 point to a daily maximum near 26°C under cloudy skies with light winds and possible showers, keeping the market’s closely bunched 29–31 °C outcomes driven by model spread rather than a clear warming signal.** Qingdao’s Yellow Sea location produces a strong marine influence that caps daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, while late-June climatology favors highs of 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal warming potential because of persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow; any break in clouds or drier air could push readings 2–3 °C higher, which explains why traders assign roughly equal weight to the top three bins. Updated guidance from regional models and the next 48-hour observational cycle will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日青島氣溫最高?
31°C或以上 54%
30°C 33%
29°C 14%
28°C 1.7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C或以上
54%
31°C或以上 54%
30°C 33%
29°C 14%
28°C 1.7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C或以上
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current short-range forecasts for Qingdao on June 28 point to a daily maximum near 26°C under cloudy skies with light winds and possible showers, keeping the market’s closely bunched 29–31 °C outcomes driven by model spread rather than a clear warming signal.** Qingdao’s Yellow Sea location produces a strong marine influence that caps daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, while late-June climatology favors highs of 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal warming potential because of persistent cloud cover and weak southerly flow; any break in clouds or drier air could push readings 2–3 °C higher, which explains why traders assign roughly equal weight to the top three bins. Updated guidance from regional models and the next 48-hour observational cycle will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions