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icon for 6月27日香港最高溫度?

6月27日香港最高溫度?

icon for 6月27日香港最高溫度?

6月27日香港最高溫度?

30°C 45%

29°C 32%

31°C 20%

32°C 4.5%

Polymarket
最新

$55,430 交易量

30°C 45%

29°C 32%

31°C 20%

32°C 4.5%

Polymarket
最新

$55,430 交易量

25°C or below

$1,962 交易量

<1%

26°C

$1,037 交易量

<1%

27°C

$2,597 交易量

<1%

28°C

$7,635 交易量

4%

29°C

$7,748 交易量

32%

30°C

$7,756 交易量

45%

31°C

$9,228 交易量

20%

32°C

$6,830 交易量

5%

33°C

$8,044 交易量

1%

34°C

$2,205 交易量

<1%

35°C or higher

$419 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$55,430
結束日期
2026-06-27
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$55,430
結束日期
2026-06-27
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月27日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 45%, followed by "29°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "6月27日香港最高溫度?" has generated $55.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "6月27日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月27日香港最高溫度?" is "30°C" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月27日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.