Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
6月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C或以下 22.4%
33°C 14%
最新
$43,478 交易量
最新
$43,478 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C或以下 22.4%
33°C 14%
最新
$43,478 交易量
最新
$43,478 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
$3,471 交易量
22%
31°C
$4,930 交易量
27%
32°C
$5,397 交易量
29%
33°C
$4,494 交易量
14%
34°C
$4,464 交易量
9%
35°C
$6,025 交易量
2%
36°C
$4,054 交易量
1%
37°C
$3,221 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,348 交易量
<1%
39°C
$2,387 交易量
<1%
40°C或以上
$2,707 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$43,478結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,478結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions