Short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models currently converge on a maximum of 34–35°C in Munich on June 28 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thundery showers. This pattern supports the market’s tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, as modest ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and intensity that could cap peaks through evaporative cooling or allow brief clear intervals to push readings higher. Recent days of above-average warmth across southern Germany have reinforced the setup, while historical June maxima near 30°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme signal. Updated model runs and DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.