Recent cold fronts and associated cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across São Paulo, producing forecast highs of 21–23°C for June 27 with possible light rain, consistent with climatological winter averages near 22–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–25°C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in cloud timing and residual moisture, which can either cap or briefly allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Traders weigh these factors against historical June maxima rarely exceeding 25°C under similar synoptic patterns, creating balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日聖保羅的最高溫度?
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
22°C 15%
25°C 12%
$13,043 交易量
$13,043 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
28%
24°C
40%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
22°C 15%
25°C 12%
$13,043 交易量
$13,043 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
28%
24°C
40%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold fronts and associated cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across São Paulo, producing forecast highs of 21–23°C for June 27 with possible light rain, consistent with climatological winter averages near 22–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–25°C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in cloud timing and residual moisture, which can either cap or briefly allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Traders weigh these factors against historical June maxima rarely exceeding 25°C under similar synoptic patterns, creating balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions