Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日成都最高溫度？
6月28日成都最高溫度？
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
14%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
23°C or below
$668 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,108 交易量
<1%
25°C
$446 交易量
1%
26°C
$530 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,206 交易量
10%
28°C
$699 交易量
22%
29°C
$506 交易量
26%
30°C
$436 交易量
21%
31°C
$436 交易量
14%
32°C
$409 交易量
6%
33°C or higher
$1,250 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,695結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,695結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions