Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日深圳最高溫度？
6月28日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
25°C or below
$3,121 交易量
<1%
26°C
$502 交易量
<1%
27°C
$252 交易量
1%
28°C
$174 交易量
4%
29°C
$224 交易量
16%
30°C
$2,147 交易量
25%
31°C
$2,327 交易量
36%
32°C
$215 交易量
17%
33°C
$295 交易量
5%
34°C
$369 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$236 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$9,863結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,863結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions