Miami's subtropical climate typically produces late-June daily highs near 88–92°F under the influence of the Bermuda high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies while sea breezes moderate peak temperatures along the coast. Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a 90–93°F range for June 27, supported by light winds, moderate humidity, and minimal tropical moisture that limits convective cooling. Recent observational trends show no significant heat wave or anomalous ridging over South Florida, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the most probable bins. Traders have priced the 90–91°F and 92–93°F outcomes at a combined 85% implied probability because forecast soundings and guidance runs continue to cluster in that narrow window, with only modest upside risk if afternoon heating exceeds model expectations. Resolution hinges on the official Miami International Airport maximum, so any late-day sea-breeze timing shift or brief cloud cover could nudge the reading within the favored intervals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 41%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 3.0%
$18,327 交易量
$18,327 交易量
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 41%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 3.0%
$18,327 交易量
$18,327 交易量
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Miami's subtropical climate typically produces late-June daily highs near 88–92°F under the influence of the Bermuda high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies while sea breezes moderate peak temperatures along the coast. Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a 90–93°F range for June 27, supported by light winds, moderate humidity, and minimal tropical moisture that limits convective cooling. Recent observational trends show no significant heat wave or anomalous ridging over South Florida, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the most probable bins. Traders have priced the 90–91°F and 92–93°F outcomes at a combined 85% implied probability because forecast soundings and guidance runs continue to cluster in that narrow window, with only modest upside risk if afternoon heating exceeds model expectations. Resolution hinges on the official Miami International Airport maximum, so any late-day sea-breeze timing shift or brief cloud cover could nudge the reading within the favored intervals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions