Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月22日上海最低溫度?
22°C 33%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
12%
20℃
14%
21°C
17%
22°C
33%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
22°C 33%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
12%
20℃
14%
21°C
17%
22°C
33%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions