Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Warsaw will likely see a high-pressure ridge with light northwesterly flow moderating temperatures around 27–28 °C on June 22, supporting the market’s leading 28 °C outcome. Variability stems from subtle differences in model handling of daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 2–3 °C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, so current warmth reflects an anomalously warm air mass; traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 27–32 °C bins against remaining model spread and the potential for updated runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 22?
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
21%
28°C
34%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
21%
28°C
34%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Warsaw will likely see a high-pressure ridge with light northwesterly flow moderating temperatures around 27–28 °C on June 22, supporting the market’s leading 28 °C outcome. Variability stems from subtle differences in model handling of daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 2–3 °C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, so current warmth reflects an anomalously warm air mass; traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 27–32 °C bins against remaining model spread and the potential for updated runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions