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icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 52%

Junior Caminero 2.2%

Matt Olson <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket

$3,193,744 交易量

Kyle Schwarber 52%

Junior Caminero 2.2%

Matt Olson <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket

$3,193,744 交易量

Kyle Schwarber

$49,953 交易量

52%

Junior Caminero

$5,306 交易量

2%

Matt Olson

$5,408 交易量

1%

Yordan Alvarez

$15,002 交易量

1%

Ben Rice

$3,492 交易量

<1%

Aaron Judge

$4,680 交易量

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$2,985 交易量

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$772 交易量

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$922 交易量

<1%

Juan Soto

$649,418 交易量

<1%

Pete Alonso

$476 交易量

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,516 交易量

<1%

Rafael Devers

$659 交易量

<1%

George Springer

$535 交易量

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$664 交易量

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,749,624 交易量

<1%

Manny Machado

$547 交易量

<1%

James Wood

$9,509 交易量

<1%

Munetaka Murakami

$10,685 交易量

<1%

Jordan Walker

$734 交易量

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$471,292 交易量

<1%

Sal Stewart

$827 交易量

<1%

CJ Abrams

$206,030 交易量

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$1,370 交易量

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$1,341 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with 45 long balls for the Phillies, well ahead of Junior Caminero’s 41 and the rest of the field clustered in the low 40s or below. Trader consensus at 51.5% for Schwarber reflects his sustained power output, multiple recent multi-homer games including grand slams, and the short remaining regular-season schedule that limits catch-up opportunities for pursuers. Caminero’s consistent production for the Rays and strong Statcast metrics keep him as the next most viable option at 2.1%, while established sluggers like Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Ben Rice trail further due to slower recent pacing and fewer games left to close gaps.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,193,744
結束日期
2026-10-16
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds a clear lead in the 2026 MLB home run race with 45 long balls for the Phillies, well ahead of Junior Caminero’s 41 and the rest of the field clustered in the low 40s or below. Trader consensus at 51.5% for Schwarber reflects his sustained power output, multiple recent multi-homer games including grand slams, and the short remaining regular-season schedule that limits catch-up opportunities for pursuers. Caminero’s consistent production for the Rays and strong Statcast metrics keep him as the next most viable option at 2.1%, while established sluggers like Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and Ben Rice trail further due to slower recent pacing and fewer games left to close gaps.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,193,744
結束日期
2026-10-16
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 52%, followed by "Junior Caminero" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Kyle Schwarber" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Junior Caminero" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.