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icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

尚未選出龐德 26.4%

卡倫·特納 17%

傑克·巴頓 12.3%

傑克·勞登 12.3%

Polymarket

$630,945 交易量

尚未選出龐德 26.4%

卡倫·特納 17%

傑克·巴頓 12.3%

傑克·勞登 12.3%

Polymarket

$630,945 交易量

icon for 尚未選出龐德

尚未選出龐德

$313,473 交易量

26%

icon for 卡倫·特納

卡倫·特納

$52,416 交易量

17%

icon for 傑克·巴頓

傑克·巴頓

$22,976 交易量

12%

icon for 傑克·勞登

傑克·勞登

$107,367 交易量

12%

icon for 傑克·奧康奈爾

傑克·奧康奈爾

$13,860 交易量

5%

icon for 雅各布·艾洛迪

雅各布·艾洛迪

$9,059 交易量

4%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$8,913 交易量

3%

icon for 亞倫·泰勒-強森

亞倫·泰勒-強森

$16,586 交易量

2%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,021 交易量

1%

icon for 皮爾斯·布洛斯南

皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$5,886 交易量

1%

icon for 喬許·奧康納

喬許·奧康納

$6,541 交易量

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$4,017 交易量

1%

icon for 湯姆·布萊斯

湯姆·布萊斯

$2,152 交易量

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$22,214 交易量

<1%

icon for 詹姆斯·諾頓

詹姆斯·諾頓

$8,464 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·哈迪

湯姆·哈迪

$5,695 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·霍蘭德

湯姆·霍蘭德

$4,516 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$3,587 交易量

<1%

icon for 提摩西·夏勒梅

提摩西·夏勒梅

$3,271 交易量

<1%

icon for 理查·麥登

理查·麥登

$1,751 交易量

<1%

icon for 亨利·卡維爾

亨利·卡維爾

$4,988 交易量

<1%

icon for 麥可·B·喬丹

麥可·B·喬丹

$2,811 交易量

<1%

icon for 尼可拉斯·加利齊納

尼可拉斯·加利齊納

$2,593 交易量

<1%

icon for 強納森·貝利

強納森·貝利

$2,786 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond has entered its decisive phase, with screen tests slated for early September under director Denis Villeneuve and producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman, keeping the market’s leading “no choice yet” outcome at the forefront. Trader sentiment reflects the opaque process favoring a younger British actor who can sustain the franchise long-term, positioning Callum Turner as the most prominent established name while elevating lesser-known contender Jack Barton as a surprise shortlist leader alongside Jack Lowden. Key differentiators include screen presence in auditions, critical pedigree from recent roles, and alignment with the mandate for a “really different” interpretation from Daniel Craig’s era, as confirmed by Pascal’s end-of-2026 announcement timeline. This uncertainty sustains tight spreads among frontrunners, with momentum hinging on post-test feedback rather than public campaigns.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$630,945
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond has entered its decisive phase, with screen tests slated for early September under director Denis Villeneuve and producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman, keeping the market’s leading “no choice yet” outcome at the forefront. Trader sentiment reflects the opaque process favoring a younger British actor who can sustain the franchise long-term, positioning Callum Turner as the most prominent established name while elevating lesser-known contender Jack Barton as a surprise shortlist leader alongside Jack Lowden. Key differentiators include screen presence in auditions, critical pedigree from recent roles, and alignment with the mandate for a “really different” interpretation from Daniel Craig’s era, as confirmed by Pascal’s end-of-2026 announcement timeline. This uncertainty sustains tight spreads among frontrunners, with momentum hinging on post-test feedback rather than public campaigns.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$630,945
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 26%, followed by "卡倫·特納" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" has generated $630.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is "尚未選出龐德" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡倫·特納" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.