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icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

查克·舒默 38%

約翰·圖恩 37%

布萊恩·夏茨 5.5%

湯姆·科頓 2.9%

Polymarket

$157,634 交易量

查克·舒默 38%

約翰·圖恩 37%

布萊恩·夏茨 5.5%

湯姆·科頓 2.9%

Polymarket

$157,634 交易量

icon for 查克·舒默

查克·舒默

$15,218 交易量

38%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$26,870 交易量

37%

icon for 布萊恩·夏茨

布萊恩·夏茨

$3,535 交易量

5%

icon for 湯姆·科頓

湯姆·科頓

$7,630 交易量

3%

icon for 史蒂夫·戴恩斯

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$25,051 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·巴拉索

約翰·巴拉索

$4,901 交易量

1%

icon for 帕蒂·莫瑞

帕蒂·莫瑞

$5,031 交易量

1%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$4,278 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$5,349 交易量

<1%

icon for 艾米·克羅布查

艾米·克羅布查

$4,673 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between Chuck Schumer and John Thune reflects uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 elections, with 35 seats in play on a map that has grown more competitive amid shifting economic conditions and voter sentiment. Thune, the current Republican leader, maintains a narrow edge in trader consensus tied to GOP structural advantages in several states, though recent polling and forecasts show Democrats closing gaps in key contests including Texas, Ohio, and Iowa. Schumer faces headwinds from Democratic candidates who have withheld support for his continued leadership, citing preferences for new direction. Internal Republican discussions, including Rick Scott's mixed signals on backing Thune, add modest volatility within the GOP conference. Election outcomes and subsequent caucus votes will determine separation between the top two.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$157,634
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between Chuck Schumer and John Thune reflects uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 elections, with 35 seats in play on a map that has grown more competitive amid shifting economic conditions and voter sentiment. Thune, the current Republican leader, maintains a narrow edge in trader consensus tied to GOP structural advantages in several states, though recent polling and forecasts show Democrats closing gaps in key contests including Texas, Ohio, and Iowa. Schumer faces headwinds from Democratic candidates who have withheld support for his continued leadership, citing preferences for new direction. Internal Republican discussions, including Rick Scott's mixed signals on backing Thune, add modest volatility within the GOP conference. Election outcomes and subsequent caucus votes will determine separation between the top two.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$157,634
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "查克·舒默" at 38%, followed by "約翰·圖恩" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" has generated $157.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is "查克·舒默" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·圖恩" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.