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icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

約翰·圖恩 30%

查克·舒默 23%

湯姆·科頓 15.4%

布萊恩·夏茨 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 交易量

約翰·圖恩 30%

查克·舒默 23%

湯姆·科頓 15.4%

布萊恩·夏茨 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 交易量

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$2,393 交易量

30%

icon for 查克·舒默

查克·舒默

$7,846 交易量

23%

icon for 湯姆·科頓

湯姆·科頓

$5,565 交易量

15%

icon for 布萊恩·夏茨

布萊恩·夏茨

$2,263 交易量

10%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$2,024 交易量

3%

icon for 艾米·克羅布查

艾米·克羅布查

$3,036 交易量

3%

icon for 史蒂夫·戴恩斯

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$21,910 交易量

3%

icon for 約翰·巴拉索

約翰·巴拉索

$2,397 交易量

3%

icon for 林賽·格雷厄姆

林賽·格雷厄姆

$11,032 交易量

2%

icon for 帕蒂·莫瑞

帕蒂·莫瑞

$2,060 交易量

2%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$2,915 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The 2026 midterm elections remain the central driver of probabilities for the next Senate majority leader, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-45 edge that could shift depending on outcomes in competitive races. John Thune’s position as current Republican leader gives him the edge in trader consensus if the GOP retains control, while Chuck Schumer’s role heading the Democratic conference positions him if Democrats flip the chamber. Tom Cotton and other Republican senators factor in as potential internal challengers should the majority hold, reflecting ongoing leadership dynamics within the conference. Several battleground contests, including those in North Carolina and Georgia, continue to keep the overall outlook fluid, and results there could quickly consolidate support around one candidate or force new negotiations within the winning party’s caucus.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$63,442
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The 2026 midterm elections remain the central driver of probabilities for the next Senate majority leader, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-45 edge that could shift depending on outcomes in competitive races. John Thune’s position as current Republican leader gives him the edge in trader consensus if the GOP retains control, while Chuck Schumer’s role heading the Democratic conference positions him if Democrats flip the chamber. Tom Cotton and other Republican senators factor in as potential internal challengers should the majority hold, reflecting ongoing leadership dynamics within the conference. Several battleground contests, including those in North Carolina and Georgia, continue to keep the overall outlook fluid, and results there could quickly consolidate support around one candidate or force new negotiations within the winning party’s caucus.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$63,442
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·圖恩" at 30%, followed by "查克·舒默" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" has generated $63.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is "約翰·圖恩" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "查克·舒默" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.