Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn after his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation that transferred him to New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment and are subject to special administrative measures that limit contact and impose heightened security. Legal proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with potential appeals challenging the extraterritorial nature of the arrest possibly reaching higher courts. Venezuela’s interim authorities have released opposition figures and demanded Maduro’s immediate return while engaging in diplomatic talks, though no release has occurred. Traders monitor upcoming court dates, any plea negotiations, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations as factors that could influence custody outcomes by year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,631,443 交易量
2026-01-31
12月31日
13%
$2,631,443 交易量
12月31日
$235,994 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn after his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation that transferred him to New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment and are subject to special administrative measures that limit contact and impose heightened security. Legal proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with potential appeals challenging the extraterritorial nature of the arrest possibly reaching higher courts. Venezuela’s interim authorities have released opposition figures and demanded Maduro’s immediate return while engaging in diplomatic talks, though no release has occurred. Traders monitor upcoming court dates, any plea negotiations, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations as factors that could influence custody outcomes by year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,631,443結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn after his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation that transferred him to New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment and are subject to special administrative measures that limit contact and impose heightened security. Legal proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with potential appeals challenging the extraterritorial nature of the arrest possibly reaching higher courts. Venezuela’s interim authorities have released opposition figures and demanded Maduro’s immediate return while engaging in diplomatic talks, though no release has occurred. Traders monitor upcoming court dates, any plea negotiations, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations as factors that could influence custody outcomes by year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,631,443結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn after his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation that transferred him to New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment and are subject to special administrative measures that limit contact and impose heightened security. Legal proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with potential appeals challenging the extraterritorial nature of the arrest possibly reaching higher courts. Venezuela’s interim authorities have released opposition figures and demanded Maduro’s immediate return while engaging in diplomatic talks, though no release has occurred. Traders monitor upcoming court dates, any plea negotiations, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations as factors that could influence custody outcomes by year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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