Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife face drug-trafficking, weapons, and corruption charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Court proceedings continue, including recent hearings where defense objections to the operation were raised, with a trial date set for June 2027. Venezuela’s acting government under Delcy Rodríguez has called for his release through diplomatic channels and UN forums, while advancing its own political prisoner amnesties and opposition talks that could influence broader negotiations. Key upcoming factors include further pretrial motions, any plea discussions, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela diplomacy amid ongoing sanctions and oil policy coordination.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,687,782 交易量
12月31日
7%
$2,687,782 交易量
12月31日
7%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife face drug-trafficking, weapons, and corruption charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Court proceedings continue, including recent hearings where defense objections to the operation were raised, with a trial date set for June 2027. Venezuela’s acting government under Delcy Rodríguez has called for his release through diplomatic channels and UN forums, while advancing its own political prisoner amnesties and opposition talks that could influence broader negotiations. Key upcoming factors include further pretrial motions, any plea discussions, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela diplomacy amid ongoing sanctions and oil policy coordination.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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