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icon for 2028年總統選舉贏家

2028年總統選舉贏家

icon for 2028年總統選舉贏家

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 18.6%

加文·紐森 16.7%

馬可·魯比歐 13.9%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,312,814 交易量

JD Vance 18.6%

加文·紐森 16.7%

馬可·魯比歐 13.9%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,312,814 交易量

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$12,099,067 交易量

19%

icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$16,415,844 交易量

17%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$9,870,507 交易量

14%

icon for 卡馬拉·哈里斯

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$7,455,500 交易量

7%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$11,455,276 交易量

5%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$4,215,413 交易量

3%

icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$11,078,534 交易量

3%

icon for 喬希·夏皮羅

喬希·夏皮羅

$6,414,995 交易量

3%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$10,946,360 交易量

3%

icon for 唐納德·川普

唐納德·川普

$7,865,950 交易量

2%

icon for 皮特·布塔朱吉

皮特·布塔朱吉

$4,425,251 交易量

2%

icon for 安迪·貝希爾

安迪·貝希爾

$18,251,589 交易量

2%

icon for 唐納德·川普二世

唐納德·川普二世

$12,261,957 交易量

1%

icon for 德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$7,006,373 交易量

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$11,749,654 交易量

1%

icon for 托馬斯·馬西

托馬斯·馬西

$5,103,949 交易量

1%

icon for 埃隆·馬斯克

埃隆·馬斯克

$24,082,025 交易量

1%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$10,469,376 交易量

1%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$6,403,687 交易量

1%

icon for 史蒂芬·史密斯

史蒂芬·史密斯

$31,010,862 交易量

1%

icon for 傑米·戴蒙

傑米·戴蒙

$8,957,804 交易量

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$33,051,722 交易量

1%

icon for 米歇爾·奧巴馬

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$14,942,528 交易量

1%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$24,297,263 交易量

1%

icon for 羅·卡納

羅·卡納

$8,326,679 交易量

1%

icon for 詹姆斯·塔拉里科

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$5,539,079 交易量

1%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$9,311,468 交易量

1%

icon for 格倫·揚金

格倫·揚金

$23,988,847 交易量

1%

icon for 圖西·加巴德

圖西·加巴德

$30,212,174 交易量

1%

icon for 維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$33,191,546 交易量

1%

icon for 祖蘭·曼達尼

祖蘭·曼達尼

$19,438,246 交易量

1%

icon for 提姆·沃茲

提姆·沃茲

$41,300,199 交易量

1%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$50,398,590 交易量

1%

icon for 彼特·赫格塞斯

彼特·赫格塞斯

$6,189,259 交易量

1%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$35,590,247 交易量

1%

icon for 埃里克·川普

埃里克·川普

$12,000,218 交易量

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.In the opening phase of the 2028 presidential cycle, trader consensus shows a tightly bunched field with no candidate exceeding 19 percent, reflecting broad uncertainty over party nominations and voter coalitions after the prior election. JD Vance holds the narrow lead on the strength of his vice-presidential platform and Republican institutional ties, yet Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio remain within a few points through established donor networks and state-level records. This close distribution persists because potential contenders are still testing messages, building organizations, and navigating primary calendar pressures without decisive polling or endorsement waves. Scheduled events such as the 2026 midterms, early primary debates, or major policy announcements could quickly separate the pack by clarifying viability and shifting implied probabilities among the leading names.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$585,312,814
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.In the opening phase of the 2028 presidential cycle, trader consensus shows a tightly bunched field with no candidate exceeding 19 percent, reflecting broad uncertainty over party nominations and voter coalitions after the prior election. JD Vance holds the narrow lead on the strength of his vice-presidential platform and Republican institutional ties, yet Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio remain within a few points through established donor networks and state-level records. This close distribution persists because potential contenders are still testing messages, building organizations, and navigating primary calendar pressures without decisive polling or endorsement waves. Scheduled events such as the 2026 midterms, early primary debates, or major policy announcements could quickly separate the pack by clarifying viability and shifting implied probabilities among the leading names.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$585,312,814
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 19%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $585.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.