The 2026 Senate map presents Republicans with a structural edge, as they defend 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a 53-47 majority heading into the cycle. Trader consensus around 49-51 seats reflects early polling trends and primary results showing Democrats competitive in open races such as North Carolina and Michigan, alongside toss-ups in Maine and Ohio. Candidate recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in North Carolina, and retirements have shifted several ratings toward greater uncertainty since the start of the year. Generic ballot leads for Democrats and potential national environment shifts could alter outcomes in battlegrounds, while Republican holds in red-state seats like Iowa and Texas provide a buffer. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 and final primary resolutions remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range of likely results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,301,075 交易量
$2,301,075 交易量
≤47
26%
48
10%
49
16%
50
18%
51
16%
52
6%
53
3%
54
2%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
4%
$2,301,075 交易量
$2,301,075 交易量
≤47
$78,569 交易量
26%
48
$29,873 交易量
10%
49
$25,875 交易量
16%
50
$79,939 交易量
18%
51
$176,160 交易量
16%
52
$524,378 交易量
6%
53
$32,790 交易量
3%
54
$728,384 交易量
2%
55
$413,949 交易量
1%
56
$159,133 交易量
1%
57+
$52,025 交易量
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Senate map presents Republicans with a structural edge, as they defend 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a 53-47 majority heading into the cycle. Trader consensus around 49-51 seats reflects early polling trends and primary results showing Democrats competitive in open races such as North Carolina and Michigan, alongside toss-ups in Maine and Ohio. Candidate recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in North Carolina, and retirements have shifted several ratings toward greater uncertainty since the start of the year. Generic ballot leads for Democrats and potential national environment shifts could alter outcomes in battlegrounds, while Republican holds in red-state seats like Iowa and Texas provide a buffer. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 and final primary resolutions remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range of likely results.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,301,075市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Senate map presents Republicans with a structural edge, as they defend 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a 53-47 majority heading into the cycle. Trader consensus around 49-51 seats reflects early polling trends and primary results showing Democrats competitive in open races such as North Carolina and Michigan, alongside toss-ups in Maine and Ohio. Candidate recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in North Carolina, and retirements have shifted several ratings toward greater uncertainty since the start of the year. Generic ballot leads for Democrats and potential national environment shifts could alter outcomes in battlegrounds, while Republican holds in red-state seats like Iowa and Texas provide a buffer. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 and final primary resolutions remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range of likely results.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$2,301,075市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Senate map presents Republicans with a structural edge, as they defend 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a 53-47 majority heading into the cycle. Trader consensus around 49-51 seats reflects early polling trends and primary results showing Democrats competitive in open races such as North Carolina and Michigan, alongside toss-ups in Maine and Ohio. Candidate recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in North Carolina, and retirements have shifted several ratings toward greater uncertainty since the start of the year. Generic ballot leads for Democrats and potential national environment shifts could alter outcomes in battlegrounds, while Republican holds in red-state seats like Iowa and Texas provide a buffer. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 and final primary resolutions remain key variables that could widen or narrow the range of likely results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions