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世界·RBA

澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？

icon for 澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？
世界·RBA

澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？

6月 16

8月 11

6月 16

8月 11

維持不變 81%

上調 21%

下調 <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 交易量

維持不變 81%

上調 21%

下調 <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 交易量

下調

$7,827 交易量

<1%

維持不變

$8,790 交易量

81%

上調

$8,845 交易量

21%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 2026 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, driven by elevated headline inflation pressures from higher global energy costs amid the Middle East situation, has positioned no change as the dominant outcome for the June meeting with an 81 percent market-implied probability. Recent RBA forecasts show inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, while the labor market is projected to soften modestly with unemployment rising toward 4.6 percent, supporting trader consensus that the recent tightening provides sufficient room to pause and monitor incoming data. This aligns with economist expectations of steady policy for the remainder of 2026, though an increase at 22 percent implied odds could still occur if June quarter CPI or wage growth surprises to the upside. The negligible 0.4 percent probability of a decrease reflects the central bank’s focus on returning inflation to its 2–3 percent target band without premature easing.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$25,462
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 2026 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, driven by elevated headline inflation pressures from higher global energy costs amid the Middle East situation, has positioned no change as the dominant outcome for the June meeting with an 81 percent market-implied probability. Recent RBA forecasts show inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, while the labor market is projected to soften modestly with unemployment rising toward 4.6 percent, supporting trader consensus that the recent tightening provides sufficient room to pause and monitor incoming data. This aligns with economist expectations of steady policy for the remainder of 2026, though an increase at 22 percent implied odds could still occur if June quarter CPI or wage growth surprises to the upside. The negligible 0.4 percent probability of a decrease reflects the central bank’s focus on returning inflation to its 2–3 percent target band without premature easing.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$25,462
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "維持不變" at 81%, followed by "上調" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？" is "維持不變" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "上調" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "澳洲儲備銀行6月份的決定？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.