Recent opinion polls for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a commanding lead near 41-42 percent, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for first place and leaving the CDU in a distant but stable second at 24-26 percent. This gap over The Left (around 12-13 percent) and smaller parties such as the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP underpins trader consensus on the CDU's 91 percent implied probability for second place. The incumbent CDU-led Kenyatta coalition faces low overall support, while AfD momentum stems from regional concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and federal policy. A late surge by The Left or another contender past the CDU remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於基民盟 90%
左翼黨 4.6%
AfD 1.8%
FDP <1%
$59,749 交易量
$59,749 交易量
2026-09-06
基民盟
90%
左翼黨
5%
AfD
2%
FDP
1%
綠黨
1%
SPD
<1%
BSW
<1%
基民盟 90%
左翼黨 4.6%
AfD 1.8%
FDP <1%
$59,749 交易量
$59,749 交易量
2026-09-06
基民盟
$30,551 交易量
90%
左翼黨
$1,566 交易量
5%
AfD
$1,312 交易量
2%
FDP
$1,971 交易量
1%
綠黨
$1,181 交易量
1%
SPD
$22,262 交易量
<1%
BSW
$905 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent opinion polls for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a commanding lead near 41-42 percent, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for first place and leaving the CDU in a distant but stable second at 24-26 percent. This gap over The Left (around 12-13 percent) and smaller parties such as the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP underpins trader consensus on the CDU's 91 percent implied probability for second place. The incumbent CDU-led Kenyatta coalition faces low overall support, while AfD momentum stems from regional concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and federal policy. A late surge by The Left or another contender past the CDU remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間： Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
交易量
$59,749結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent opinion polls for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a commanding lead near 41-42 percent, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for first place and leaving the CDU in a distant but stable second at 24-26 percent. This gap over The Left (around 12-13 percent) and smaller parties such as the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP underpins trader consensus on the CDU's 91 percent implied probability for second place. The incumbent CDU-led Kenyatta coalition faces low overall support, while AfD momentum stems from regional concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and federal policy. A late surge by The Left or another contender past the CDU remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$59,749結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a commanding lead near 41-42 percent, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for first place and leaving the CDU in a distant but stable second at 24-26 percent. This gap over The Left (around 12-13 percent) and smaller parties such as the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP underpins trader consensus on the CDU's 91 percent implied probability for second place. The incumbent CDU-led Kenyatta coalition faces low overall support, while AfD momentum stems from regional concerns over immigration, economic conditions, and federal policy. A late surge by The Left or another contender past the CDU remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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