Pamela Evette secured a narrow plurality in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina governor, finishing with roughly 29 percent of the vote compared to Alan Wilson’s 26 percent and lower shares for Ralph Norman, Rom Reddy, and Nancy Mace. This outcome, confirmed across nearly all precincts, places her margin of victory under 5 percent and aligns with the strong market consensus on that result. Trump’s endorsement boosted her visibility in the crowded field for the open seat, yet the fragmented vote prevented any candidate from reaching a majority and triggered the June 23 runoff. Remaining uncounted ballots or official certification could still adjust the final spread slightly, though current tallies make a larger margin or an upset by another contender highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Evette <5% 95%
Evette 5–10% 2.1%
Wilson 5%+ 1.0%
Reddy Wins 1.0%
$12,472 交易量
$12,472 交易量
Evette 10%+
1%
Evette 5–10%
2%
Evette <5%
95%
Wilson 5%+
1%
Wilson <5%
<1%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
<1%
Reddy Wins
1%
Evette <5% 95%
Evette 5–10% 2.1%
Wilson 5%+ 1.0%
Reddy Wins 1.0%
$12,472 交易量
$12,472 交易量
Evette 10%+
1%
Evette 5–10%
2%
Evette <5%
95%
Wilson 5%+
1%
Wilson <5%
<1%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
<1%
Reddy Wins
1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pamela Evette secured a narrow plurality in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina governor, finishing with roughly 29 percent of the vote compared to Alan Wilson’s 26 percent and lower shares for Ralph Norman, Rom Reddy, and Nancy Mace. This outcome, confirmed across nearly all precincts, places her margin of victory under 5 percent and aligns with the strong market consensus on that result. Trump’s endorsement boosted her visibility in the crowded field for the open seat, yet the fragmented vote prevented any candidate from reaching a majority and triggered the June 23 runoff. Remaining uncounted ballots or official certification could still adjust the final spread slightly, though current tallies make a larger margin or an upset by another contender highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions