Skip to main content
icon for SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

馬克·史密斯 69%

Alex Pelbath 19%

傑克·埃利森 3.7%

珍妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特 3.6%

Polymarket

$14,344 交易量

馬克·史密斯 69%

Alex Pelbath 19%

傑克·埃利森 3.7%

珍妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特 3.6%

Polymarket

$14,344 交易量

馬克·史密斯

$5,629 交易量

69%

Alex Pelbath

$2,462 交易量

19%

傑克·埃利森

$945 交易量

4%

珍妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特

$643 交易量

4%

傑伊·拜亞斯

$681 交易量

4%

薩姆·麥考恩

$2,007 交易量

2%

羅根·坎寧安

$733 交易量

1%

賈斯汀·邁爾斯

$603 交易量

1%

丹·布朗

$641 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands 68% trader consensus as the Republican primary frontrunner for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, bolstered by his April 16 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. Smith's incumbency advantage, $727,000 in fundraising through late March, and grassroots momentum in the crowded 11-candidate field explain his lead, while Pelbath's military background and $366,000 raised secure second place at 17%. No formal polls exist, but the fragmented ballot favors top contenders ahead of the June 9 primary; former Gov. Mark Sanford's late April withdrawal minimally shifted dynamics amid ongoing legislative talks on potential primary delays via redistricting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,344
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands 68% trader consensus as the Republican primary frontrunner for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, bolstered by his April 16 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. Smith's incumbency advantage, $727,000 in fundraising through late March, and grassroots momentum in the crowded 11-candidate field explain his lead, while Pelbath's military background and $366,000 raised secure second place at 17%. No formal polls exist, but the fragmented ballot favors top contenders ahead of the June 9 primary; former Gov. Mark Sanford's late April withdrawal minimally shifted dynamics amid ongoing legislative talks on potential primary delays via redistricting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,344
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬克·史密斯" at 69%, followed by "Alex Pelbath" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $14.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "馬克·史密斯" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pelbath" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.