Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his established record as a moderate governor in a state that has repeatedly supported him across multiple terms despite its Democratic lean in presidential contests. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, with race ratings from outlets like Cook and Sabato classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. Scott's primary victory was near-unanimous, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win highlighted a divided opposition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$44,652 交易量
$44,652 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
91%
民主黨
9%
$44,652 交易量
$44,652 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$20,161 交易量
91%
民主黨
$24,491 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his established record as a moderate governor in a state that has repeatedly supported him across multiple terms despite its Democratic lean in presidential contests. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, with race ratings from outlets like Cook and Sabato classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. Scott's primary victory was near-unanimous, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win highlighted a divided opposition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$44,652結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his established record as a moderate governor in a state that has repeatedly supported him across multiple terms despite its Democratic lean in presidential contests. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, with race ratings from outlets like Cook and Sabato classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. Scott's primary victory was near-unanimous, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win highlighted a divided opposition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$44,652結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his established record as a moderate governor in a state that has repeatedly supported him across multiple terms despite its Democratic lean in presidential contests. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, with race ratings from outlets like Cook and Sabato classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. Scott's primary victory was near-unanimous, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win highlighted a divided opposition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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