Recent New York City housing data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from $795,000 to $876,000 with 3-6% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates near 6%. These trends, alongside Zillow's typical home value of $816,078 (up 4.4% over the past year), underpin trader consensus around the $606,000-$613,000 band at 45.5% implied probability, with adjacent ranges capturing residual uncertainty in monthly fluctuations. Elevated financing costs and mixed borough performance—stronger outer-borough resilience versus Manhattan's flatter trajectory—limit upside momentum into the June 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$606k - $613k 45%
$599,000 - $606,000 27%
$613k - $620k 16%
$592k - $599k 5%
$599,000 - $606,000
31%
低於$585,000
5%
$606k - $613k
45%
$585k - $592k
5%
$592k - $599k
5%
$613k - $620k
16%
>$62萬
5%
$606k - $613k 45%
$599,000 - $606,000 27%
$613k - $620k 16%
$592k - $599k 5%
$599,000 - $606,000
31%
低於$585,000
5%
$606k - $613k
45%
$585k - $592k
5%
$592k - $599k
5%
$613k - $620k
16%
>$62萬
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
市場開放時間: Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent New York City housing data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from $795,000 to $876,000 with 3-6% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates near 6%. These trends, alongside Zillow's typical home value of $816,078 (up 4.4% over the past year), underpin trader consensus around the $606,000-$613,000 band at 45.5% implied probability, with adjacent ranges capturing residual uncertainty in monthly fluctuations. Elevated financing costs and mixed borough performance—stronger outer-borough resilience versus Manhattan's flatter trajectory—limit upside momentum into the June 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions