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icon for 6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？
經濟艙·Parcl

6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

icon for 6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？
經濟艙·Parcl

6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

$1.230M - $1.244M 25%

$1,216,000 - $1,230,000 22%

>$1.244百萬 13%

$1.202M - $1.216M 8%

Polymarket
最新

$1.230M - $1.244M 25%

$1,216,000 - $1,230,000 22%

>$1.244百萬 13%

$1.202M - $1.216M 8%

Polymarket
最新

低於$1.174M

$38 交易量

4%

$1.174M - $1.188M

$38 交易量

5%

$1.188M - $1.202M

$38 交易量

4%

$1.202M - $1.216M

$62 交易量

8%

$1,216,000 - $1,230,000

$40 交易量

22%

$1.230M - $1.244M

$199 交易量

28%

>$1.244百萬

$185 交易量

13%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent strength in the San Francisco Bay Area housing market, with median sale prices rising 16% year-over-year through May 2026 amid tight inventory and faster days on market, underpins trader focus on the $1.216M–$1.244M range for the metro-area median home value on June 30. Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.35M for the broader region in early 2026, combined with resilient demand outpacing supply, support the 50.5% combined probability on the two leading bins while leaving room for modest monthly fluctuations before resolution. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and limited new listings continue to shape the competitive pricing, with the short 20-day window to June 30 limiting scope for sharp reversals absent major economic data releases.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
交易量
$600
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent strength in the San Francisco Bay Area housing market, with median sale prices rising 16% year-over-year through May 2026 amid tight inventory and faster days on market, underpins trader focus on the $1.216M–$1.244M range for the metro-area median home value on June 30. Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.35M for the broader region in early 2026, combined with resilient demand outpacing supply, support the 50.5% combined probability on the two leading bins while leaving room for modest monthly fluctuations before resolution. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and limited new listings continue to shape the competitive pricing, with the short 20-day window to June 30 limiting scope for sharp reversals absent major economic data releases.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
交易量
$600
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.230M - $1.244M" at 28%, followed by "$1,216,000 - $1,230,000" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is "$1.230M - $1.244M" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1,216,000 - $1,230,000" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.