Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro area have clustered near $495,000, with modest year-over-year declines of 3–6 percent amid elevated inventory and longer days-on-market. This positioning underpins the 58.5 percent market-implied odds for a June 30 median above $495,000, as traders price in limited further downside over the next three weeks given stable mortgage rates and resilient local demand. Lower-range outcomes in the $481,000–$493,000 band, each trading between 14.5 percent and 19.5 percent, reflect the ongoing buyer’s market dynamics and seasonal softening typical ahead of mid-year. The June 30 resolution leaves little room for major catalysts beyond standard MLS reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於>$495k 58%
低於$48.1萬 11%
$481,000 - $484,000 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481,000 - $484,000
19%
$484,000 - $487,000
13%
$493k - $495k
15%
$490,000 - $493,000
13%
>$495k
58%
$487,000 - $490,000
20%
低於$48.1萬
15%
>$495k 58%
低於$48.1萬 11%
$481,000 - $484,000 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481,000 - $484,000
19%
$484,000 - $487,000
13%
$493k - $495k
15%
$490,000 - $493,000
13%
>$495k
58%
$487,000 - $490,000
20%
低於$48.1萬
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
市場開放時間: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro area have clustered near $495,000, with modest year-over-year declines of 3–6 percent amid elevated inventory and longer days-on-market. This positioning underpins the 58.5 percent market-implied odds for a June 30 median above $495,000, as traders price in limited further downside over the next three weeks given stable mortgage rates and resilient local demand. Lower-range outcomes in the $481,000–$493,000 band, each trading between 14.5 percent and 19.5 percent, reflect the ongoing buyer’s market dynamics and seasonal softening typical ahead of mid-year. The June 30 resolution leaves little room for major catalysts beyond standard MLS reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions