Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on extending the cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and still-restrictive monetary policy. After consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in late April, the committee has maintained a data-dependent stance despite headline inflation accelerating above the 3% target and Focus survey expectations for 2026 rising to 4.9%. Elevated uncertainty from Middle East oil shocks has tempered hawkish risks, keeping no-change odds at 24.5% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June 16–17 decision will test whether growth weakness or inflation persistence ultimately dictates the next move in the policy calibration path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下調 76%
無變動 23.9%
提高 <1%
$140,217 交易量
$140,217 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
1%
無變動
24%
下調
76%
下調 76%
無變動 23.9%
提高 <1%
$140,217 交易量
$140,217 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$41,318 交易量
1%
無變動
$36,461 交易量
24%
下調
$62,438 交易量
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on extending the cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and still-restrictive monetary policy. After consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in late April, the committee has maintained a data-dependent stance despite headline inflation accelerating above the 3% target and Focus survey expectations for 2026 rising to 4.9%. Elevated uncertainty from Middle East oil shocks has tempered hawkish risks, keeping no-change odds at 24.5% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June 16–17 decision will test whether growth weakness or inflation persistence ultimately dictates the next move in the policy calibration path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$140,217結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on extending the cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and still-restrictive monetary policy. After consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in late April, the committee has maintained a data-dependent stance despite headline inflation accelerating above the 3% target and Focus survey expectations for 2026 rising to 4.9%. Elevated uncertainty from Middle East oil shocks has tempered hawkish risks, keeping no-change odds at 24.5% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June 16–17 decision will test whether growth weakness or inflation persistence ultimately dictates the next move in the policy calibration path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$140,217結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on extending the cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and still-restrictive monetary policy. After consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in late April, the committee has maintained a data-dependent stance despite headline inflation accelerating above the 3% target and Focus survey expectations for 2026 rising to 4.9%. Elevated uncertainty from Middle East oil shocks has tempered hawkish risks, keeping no-change odds at 24.5% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June 16–17 decision will test whether growth weakness or inflation persistence ultimately dictates the next move in the policy calibration path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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